By Nick Maylor

We have been talking about the forthcoming Oscars since last September at TIFF. We’ve been talking about it ever since. John and Alan have already submitted their picks for this Sunday’s ceremony. As we’ve mentioned, we’re getting a bit sick and tired of talking about them.

This year’s Oscars is the most wide-open of any I can recall in recent memory. Many of the big awards do not appear to be certain and it seems that anything could happen. We’re splitting the picks up into three: listing the likely winner, our preference and an outside chance. It’s very tricky to call anything this year. It was hard to make these decisions and a lot of this is going on gut instinct.

This Sunday we will know for sure and we can start to look forward and the dry part of the year for movie releases starts to wind down.

My choices are:

BEST PICTURE

  • Will Win – Black Panther
  • Should Win – A Star is Born
  • Might Win – Bohemian Rhapsody

BEST DIRECTOR

  • Will Win – Alfonso Cuarón for Roma
  • Should Win – Bradley Cooper for A Star is Born (not nominated)
  • Might Win – Spike Lee for BlacKkKlansman

BEST ACTOR

  • Will Win – Rami Malek for Bohemian Rhapsody
  • Should Win – Christian Bale for Vice
  • Might Win – Christian Bale for Vice

BEST ACTRESS

  • Will Win – Glenn Close for The Wife
  • Should Win – Lady Gaga for A Star is Born
  • Might Win – Lady Gaga for A Star is Born

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

  • Will Win – Mahershala Ali for Green Book
  • Should Win – Mahershala Ali for Green Book
  • Might Win – Sam Elliot for A Star is Born

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

  • Will Win – Regina King for If Beale Street Could Talk
  • Should Win – Amy Adams for Vice
  • Might Win – Amy Adams for Vice

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

  • Will Win – Green Book
  • Should Win – Vice
  • Might Win – Roma

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

  • Will Win – BlacKkKlansman
  • Should Win – A Star is Born
  • Might Win – Can You Ever Forgive Me?

BEST MUSICAL SCORE

  • Will Win – Black Panther
  • Should Win – Black Panther
  • Might Win – Isle of Dogs

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

  • Will Win – Roma
  • Should Win – First Man (Not nominated)
  • Might Win – A Star is Born

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

  • Will Win – Ready Player One
  • Should Win – Ready Player One
  • Might Win – Avengers: Infinity War

BEST SOUND MIXING

  • Will Win – Bohemian Rhapsody
  • Should Win – First Man
  • Might Win – Black Panther

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

  • Will Win – Black Panther
  • Should Win – Black Panther
  • Might Win – The Favourite

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

  • Will Win – The Favourite
  • Should Win – Black Panther
  • Might Win – Black Panther

BEST FILM EDITING

  • Will Win – Bohemian Rhapsody
  • Should Win – First Man (not nominated)
  • Might Win – Green Book

BEST SOUND EDITING

  • Will Win – Bohemian Rhapsody
  • Should Win – First Man
  • Might Win – Black Panther

BEST MAKE UP/ HAIRSTYLING

  • Will Win – Vice
  • Should Win – Vice
  • Might Win – Mary, Queen of Scots

BEST SONG

  • Will Win – “Shallow” from A Star is Born
  • Should Win – “Shallow” from A Star is Born
  • Might Win – N/A

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

  • Should Win – Spider Man: Into the Spider Verse
  • Should Win – Spider Man: Into the Spider Verse
  • Might Win – Incredibles 2

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

  • Will Win – Roma
  • Should Win – Cold War
  • Might Win – Cold War

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

  • Will Win – RBG
  • Should Win – RBG
  • Might Win – N/A

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