Alan’s Final Oscar Predictions

By Alan Hurst

I’m never really very good at this because I’m never totally objective. There are always films and performances that I think should win, therefore I convince myself that they will win. And, as John has already pointed out with his predictions, there is no one film expected to dominate this year.

Back in the fall A Star Is Born might have had the inside track after it opened to stellar reviews and strong box-office, but I think people are now seeing it as more of a good, not great, film and perhaps the over-the-top reviews weren’t warranted. The fact that it has been basically shut out from most of the major pre-Oscar awards speaks to some kind of reassessment.

With that, my subjectively objective picks:

BEST PICTURE

• Will Win – Roma
• Should Win – Roma 
• Might Win – Green Book

BEST DIRECTOR

• Will Win – Alfonso Cuaron for Roma
• Should Win – Alfonso Cuaron for Roma
• Might Win – Spike Lee for BlacKkKlansman

BEST ACTOR

• Will Win – Rami Malek in Bohemian Rhapsody
• Should Win – Viggo Mortensen in Green Book
• Might Win – Bradley Cooper in A Star Is Born

BEST ACTRESS

• Will Win – Glenn Close in The Wife
• Should Win – Glenn Close in The Wife (although I’d be just as happy if Melissa McCarthy won for Can You Ever Forgive Me?)
• Might Win – Olivia Colman in The Favourite

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

• Will Win – Mahershala Ali in Green Book
• Should Win – Richard E. Grant in Can You Ever Forgive Me?
• Might Win – Sam Elliot in A Star Is Born

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

• Will Win – Amy Adams in Vice
• Should Win – Regina King in If Beale Street Could Talk
• Might Win – Regina King in If Beale Street Could Talk

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

• Will Win – The Favourite
• Should Win – The Favourite
• Might Win – Green Book

BEST SCREENPLAY ADAPTATION

• Will Win – BlacKkKlansman
• Should Win – BlacKkKlansman
• Might Win – If Beale Street Could Talk

BEST MUSICAL SCORE

• Will Win – If Beale Street Could Talk
• Should Win – If Beale Street Could Talk
• Might Win – Black Panther

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

• Will Win – Roma
• Should Win – Roma
• Might Win – The Favourite

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

• Will Win – Avengers: Infinity Wars
• Should Win – First Man
• Might Win – Ready Player One

BEST SOUND MIXING

• Will Win – A Star Is Born
• Should Win – First Man
• Might Win – First Man

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

• Will Win – The Favourite
• Should Win – Mary Poppins Returns
• Might Win – Black Panther

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

• Will Win – The Favourite
• Should Win – The Favourite
• Might Win – Black Panther

BEST FILM EDITING

• Will Win – Vice
• Should Win – The Favourite
• Might Win – BlacKkKlansman

BEST SOUND EDITING

• Will Win – First Man
• Should Win – A Quiet Place 
• Might Win – A Quiet Place

BEST MAKE UP/ HAIRSTYLING

• Will Win – Vice
• Should Win – Mary, Queen of Scots
• Might Win – Mary, Queen of Scots

BEST SONG

• Will Win – Shallow from A Star is Born
• Should Win – Shallow from A Star is Born
• Might Win – The Place Where Lost Thing Go from Mary Poppins Returns

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

• Will Win – Roma
• Should Win – Roma
• Might Win – Cold War

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

• Will Win – RBG
• Should Win – RBG
• Might Win – Free Solo

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

• Should Win – Spider Man: Into the Spider Verse
• Should Win – Isle of Dogs
• Might Win – Isle of Dogs