By John H. Foote

Let me state clearly, I might get half of these correct and usually I miss one, maybe two categories, but 2018 has been such a wonky year, I truly do not know who is going to win. Really, I suppose no one does, but especially this year, I admit I just do not have a grand sense of who will take home the Oscar.

The list offers who I firmly believe will win (as firm as I could manage), who should, based on my own opinion, and who might prove a spoiler and sneak in for the win. For those I believe should win, I often go outside of the nominations, because some of the year’s best films and achievements were left out.

Understand I do not see the short films, either documentary or live action, so of course neither are discussed.

Expect to see Alan and Nick do similar lists.

BEST PICTURE

  • Will Win – Green Book
  • Should Win – First Man 
  • Might Win – Roma

BEST DIRECTOR

  • Will Win – Alfonso Cuaron for Roma
  • Should Win – Damien Chazelle for First Man
  • Might Win – Spike Lee for BlacKkKlansman

BEST ACTOR

  • Will Win – Rami Malek in Bohemian Rhapsody
  • Should Win – Christian Bale in Vice
  • Might Win – Viggo Mortensen in Green Book

BEST ACTRESS

  • Will Win – Glenn Close in The Wife
  • Should Win – Glenn Close in The Wife
  • Might Win – Lady Gaga in A Star is Born

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

  • Will Win – Mahershala Ali in Green Book
  • Should Win – Mahershala Ali in Green Book
  • Might Win – Richard E. Grant in Can You Ever Forgive Me?

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

  • Will Win – Regina King in If Beale Street Could Talk
  • Should Win – Amy Adams in Vice
  • Might Win – Emma Stone in The Favourite

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

  • Will Win – Green Book
  • Should Win – First Reformed
  • Might Win – Vice

BEST SCREENPLAY ADAPTATION

  • Will Win – BlacKkKlansman
  • Should Win – BlacKkKlansman
  • Might Win – If Beale Street Could Talk

BEST MUSICAL SCORE

  • Will Win – Black Panther
  • Should Win – First Man
  • Might Win – Isle of Dogs

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

  • Will Win – Roma
  • Should Win – Cold War
  • Might Win – A Star is Born

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

  • Will Win – Ready Player One
  • Should Win – First Man
  • Might Win – First Man

BEST SOUND

  • Will Win – Bohemian Rhapsody
  • Should Win – First Man
  • Might Win – First Man

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

  • Will Win – Black Panther
  • Should Win – The Favourite
  • Might Win – Mary Poppins Returns

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

  • Will Win – The Favourite
  • Should Win – Mary Queen of Scots
  • Might Win – Black Panther

BEST FILM EDITING

  • Will Win – Green Book
  • Should Win – First Man
  • Might Win – BlacKkKlansman

BEST SOUND EDITING

  • Will Win – Black Panther
  • Should Win – First Man 
  • Might Win – A Quiet Place

BEST MAKE UP/ HAIRSTYLING

  • Will Win – Vice
  • Should Win – Vice
  • Might Win – Mary, Queen of Scots

BEST SONG

  • Will Win – Shallow from A Star is Born
  • Should Win – Shallow from A Star is Born
  • Might Win – Nothing else has a chance.

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

  • Will Win – Roma
  • Should Win – Cold War
  • Might Win – Cold War

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

  • Will Win – RBG
  • Should Win – Hal
  • Might Win – Doubt anything else has a chance.

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

  • Should Win – Spider Man: Into the Spider Verse
  • Should Win – Incredibles 2
  • Might Win – Isle of Dogs

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